KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 75%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$67.1
Liquidity
$1.2K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
69.0% / 76.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
May 19, 26, 12:00 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If qualifying public announcements indicate NextEra Energy, Inc.'s takeover of Dominion Energy, Inc. has succeeded Before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A takeover "succeeds" when BOTH of the following are publicly announced: (a) Corporate Approval—shareholders approved the acquisition OR the acquirer acquired controlling interest ( 50% of voting shares); AND (b) Conditions Satisfaction—all material conditions including regulatory approvals have been satisfied or waived.
- Press releases, SEC filings (8-K, Schedule TO amendments), and official company announcements qualify.
- Letters of intent, agreements in principle, or conditional announcements do not satisfy the criteria.
- If one acquirer's takeover succeeds, all other acquirer markets immediately resolve to No. Resolution is based on the announcements, not the ultimate transaction outcome—if both criteria are announced but the deal later fails, the market still resolves to Yes.
- The "None" option resolves to Yes only if no takeover succeeds by the deadline.
Open markets
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $14.3M
- 24h Vol
- $157.6K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-4.0pt45%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-7.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-29.0pt24%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
- Before Apr 1, 202792%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.6M
- 24h Vol
- $16.5K
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20%
- $1.75T–$2.0T+0.5pt19.1%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.1%
+5 more outcomes
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will NextEra Energy successfully take over Dominion Energy??
- Kalshi prices Yes at 75% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will NextEra Energy successfully take over Dominion Energy? resolve?
- Will NextEra Energy successfully take over Dominion Energy? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is Will NextEra Energy successfully take over Dominion Energy? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If qualifying public announcements indicate NextEra Energy, Inc.'s takeover of Dominion Energy, Inc. has succeeded Before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.