Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 8:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 98.2%
Forecasters
26
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingDec 6, 25, 5:59 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Netflix will successfully acquire Warner by the end of 2026.
- Update 2025-12-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Warner is split as part of the acquisition, the market will resolve NO.
- Netflix must acquire Warner as currently constituted for this market to resolve YES.
