US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by...?
0.5% (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffGeopoliticsUS PoliticsLatin America5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilitySeptember 30 45%-0.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$315.6
Low liquidityBid / Ask
10.0% / 79.0%
Spread
690.0%
Wide spread7d Change
+24.0%
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
May 16, 26, 12:06 AMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
September 3045%
Volume trend
$10Jul 53d of dataJul 8
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
- An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
- Only definitive announcements will qualify.
- Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.