FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probabilityJD Vance 28%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$5.9K
Medium liquidityTraders
0
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will cannabis be decriminalized or legalized by the midterms?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
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Robinhood (Rothera)Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold Markets2028 US Presidential Election winner?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be nominated for President for the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsRules
This set of markets predicts the winner of the November 7, 2028, U.S. presidential general election.
- Each market below corresponds to one candidate, of which exactly one will resolve "Yes".
- Resolution is intended to occur within days of election day, not to wait for Electoral College certification.
- The Primary Designated Source is the Associated Press presidential race call.
- Resolution is triggered as soon as the AP has called the race and at least two of the following also call the same winner: Reuters, Fox News, The New York Times.
- In the case of a major discrepancy between these sources that persists beyond seven days after election day, resolution will instead be based on the aggregate of official state-certified results from each state's Secretary of State office, determining which candidate holds a majority of Electoral College votes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a millennial? · No 81%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 27%
- Also available on Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 19%
- Also available on Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 19%
- Also available on Smarkets — 2028 Presidential Election Winner · JD Vance 18%
- Also available on PredictIt — Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
