PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democratic 61%
Market quality
83 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$2.7K
Liquidity
$362.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
60.0% / 61.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
89
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 18, 25, 5:30 PM UTCNov 7, 28, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
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PolymarketWinner of the next US Presidential Election
FutuurUS Presidential Election Winner 2028
MyriadRules
The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028.
- This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party.
- If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Democratic is 61%. Quotes span about 3 percentage points between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Democratic 61% · 2 venues · 3 pt venue spread
- Also available on ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Also available on Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 61%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Which party will win the 2028 US Presidential election? · Democratic Party 61%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 57%
- Also available on PredictIt — Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? · Democratic 58%
- Also available on Kalshi — 2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party) · Democratic party 58%
Open markets
Politics
KALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $884.5K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.6M
- 24h Vol
- $655K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.3M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election??
- Polymarket prices Democratic at 61% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? resolve?
- Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2028.
- How is Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028.
- Where else is Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? listed?
- The same question is also listed on ForecastEx, Limitless, Manifold Markets, Robinhood (Rothera), PredictIt, Kalshi.