PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democratic 57%-0.5%Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4.7K
Liquidity
$936.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
57.0% / 58.0%
Spread
1.8%
Tight spread7d Change
-1.0%
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jul 18, 25, 5:30 PMNov 7, 28, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Democratic57%
Compare venues· Democratic
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 57% | 0pt | $4.7K | $936.8K | 14 minutes ago | |
 Limitless94% match · auto | Low | 58% | +1pt | $0 | $0 | 14 minutes ago | Open → |
 Manifold Markets89% match · linked | — | 61% | +4pt | — | — | 14 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets89% match · auto | — | 59% | +2pt | — | — | 14 minutes ago | Open → |
 PredictIt80% match · verified | — | 57% | 0pt | — | — | 14 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
2y
57.5%
50%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$100.3
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
2y
-1.0%59.4%
+1.1%39%
0.8%
+11 more outcomes
Community forecast39 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Which party will win the 2028 US Presidential election?
2y
+0.1%60.5%
-0.1%38.9%
0.5%
Community forecast35 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on PredictIt
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
3y
57%
45%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRules
The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028.
- This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party.
- If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$4.7kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028.
- This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party.
- If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.