Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election?

Manifold Markets prices No at 61% as of September 8, 2026.

When does Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election resolve?

Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election is scheduled to resolve on January 21, 2029.

How is Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will resolve based off of Wikipedia determination of election winner, if unclear due to electoral college tie or lack of electoral college majority it will resolve based on whoever is inaugurated after the 2028 presidential election

POLYMARKET

Presidential Election Winner 2028

• JD Vance-0.1pt25%
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
• Jon Ossoff12%

+49 more outcomes

Total Vol

$703.9M

24h Vol

$810.8K

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election

• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
• Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
• Renan Santos-0.2pt1%

+16 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

• J.D. Vance50%
• Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
• Tucker Carlson3%

+39 more outcomes

Total Vol

$701M

KALSHI

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

• Jon Ossoff17%
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
• Gavin Newsom14%

+45 more outcomes

Total Vol

$213.1M

24h Vol

$547.7K

POLYMARKET

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

• United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
• New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
• Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%

POLYMARKET

Next French Presidential Election

• Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
• Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
• Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%

+38 more outcomes

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