Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 1:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Democratic Party 62.8%Leader of 3 outcomes
Democratic Party 62.8%Forecasters
38
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleSep 12, 24, 3:26 AM UTCNov 8, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
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PolymarketWinner of the next US Presidential Election
FutuurRules
Resolves to the political party of the winner.
- Inspired by @ManifoldPolitics's 2024 market.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Also available on Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 65%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? · Democrats 65%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 62%
- Also available on Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
