KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Democratic party · —
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Stored price
Democratic party 58.5%
Democratic party 58.5%Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$996.6
Open interest
$274K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Democratic partySpread
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Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Nov 6, 24, 3:00 PM UTCJan 21, 29, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Market depth · Democratic party
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Office of the Presidency
Rules for each outcome
- Democratic party
- If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican party
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
4 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Democratic party is 61%. The venue spread is about 5 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Democratic party 61% · 4 venues · 5 pt venue spread
- Also available on ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Also available on Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 64%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? · Democrats 65%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 61%
- Also available on Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?