KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Republican party 47%
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$110
Low liquidityBid / Ask
46.0% / 52.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
May 15, 26, 9:00 PM UTCNov 2, 33, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)
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PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketRules
If a representative of the the named outcome is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Office of the Presidency
Open markets
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- 24h Vol
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
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- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213M
- 24h Vol
- $477.5K
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- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
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- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election??
- Kalshi prices Republican party at 47% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election? resolve?
- Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election? is scheduled to resolve on November 2, 2033.
- How is Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If a representative of the the named outcome is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.