Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 60.5%
Forecasters
45
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 12, 23, 10:06 PM UTCFeb 2, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if a member of the Democratic Party wins the 2028 presidential elections.
- If the election is postponed then this market resolves YES if a democrat wins the postponed elections, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to NO.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on ForecastEx — Will a Democrat win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · Yes 56%
- Also available on Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 67%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes 64%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 64%
- Also available on Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? ·