Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 63.5% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election? resolve?

Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election? is scheduled to resolve on February 22, 2029.

How is Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves Yes if a Democrat is inaugurated president in 2028, presumably after winning the electoral college.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+4.0pt68.5%
• Ken Paxton-1.0pt32.5%

Total Vol

$49.3M

24h Vol

$3.7M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+3.0pt65.5%
• D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt27.5%
• Republicans sweep

KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+0.4pt91.3%
• Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%

Total Vol

$78.5M

24h Vol

$3M

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party+1.0pt92.1%
• Republican Party-1.0pt7.9%

Total Vol

$26.3M

24h Vol

$2.1M

KALSHI

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

• Karen Bass+11.0pt54.5%
• Nithya Raman-9.0pt45.5%

Total Vol

$45M

24h Vol

$1.9M

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

US House Control After the 2026 Midterms

• Democrat93%
• Republican-1.0pt9%

Total Vol

$1.4M

24h Vol

$1.4M

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