In 2028, will it be harder to get a DCM license than in 2026? // Will a Democrat win the 2028 presidential election?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for In 2028, will it be harder to get a DCM license than in 2026? // Will a Democrat win the 2028 presidential election??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 50% as of October 29, 2026.

When does In 2028, will it be harder to get a DCM license than in 2026? // Will a Democrat win the 2028 presidential election? resolve?

In 2028, will it be harder to get a DCM license than in 2026? // Will a Democrat win the 2028 presidential election? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.

How is In 2028, will it be harder to get a DCM license than in 2026? // Will a Democrat win the 2028 presidential election? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Personal judgement for the DCM part.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+3.0pt68.5%
• D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt26.5%
• Republicans sweep-2.6pt5.5%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$74.7M

24h Vol

$9.1M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+3.0pt71.5%
• Ken Paxton-3.0pt28.5%

Total Vol

$56.3M

24h Vol

$5.4M

KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+2.0pt93.7%
• Republican Party-2.0pt6.5%

Total Vol

$84.7M

24h Vol

$4.2M

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party93.1%
• Republican Party6.9%

Total Vol

$32.6M

24h Vol

$3.8M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep+4.0pt69.6%
• R Senate, D-3.0pt23.5%
• Republicans Sweep-1.0pt5.9%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

• Democratic Party+3.0pt70.3%
• Republican Party-3.0pt29.7%

Total Vol

$13M

24h Vol

$2.1M

• 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
• US House Control After the 2026 Midterms
• Texas Governor winner?
• Kansas Senate winner?
• Texas Senate Election Winner
• Who will control the Senate?
• 2026 Texas Senate Race
• Next French Presidential Election
• Michigan Senate winner?
• How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
• California Governor winner? (Person)
• Maine Senate winner?