Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
JD Vance 21%-0.1ptLeader of 45 outcomes
JD Vance 21%-0.1ptForecasters
1,033
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJan 10, 24, 6:40 AM UTCNov 6, 28, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWho will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessRules
Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" for the candidate officially declared the winner of the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election by the U.S. Electoral College and certified by Congress, as verified by the U.S. Federal Election Commission (FEC) or another authorized government body.
- If no candidate is declared the winner, it will resolve to "No."
- Request your candidate in comments.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a millennial? · No 81%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 22%
- Also available on Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 20%
- Also available on Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 20%
- Also available on Futuur — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028 ·
