Manifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastGavin Newsom 13.8%Leader of 47 outcomes
Forecasters
146
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 days ago
StaleSep 18, 23, 10:26 PMNov 25, 28, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Gavin Newsom14%
Also available on PredictIt
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
22%
17%
16%
+10 more outcomes
Retail prediction exchange
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
PREDICTITAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
2y
3.6%
1.3%
1.8%
+58 more outcomes
Community forecast479 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$260.1K
24h Vol$251.2
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will be elected president in 2028?
2y
+0.2%3.6%
0.6%
-0.1%1.6%
+97 more outcomes
Community forecast1,973 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$1.7M
24h Vol$2K
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?
2y
3.1%
-0.4%19.2%
0.8%
+18 more outcomes
Community forecast577 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$553.5K
24h Vol$1.4K
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will be elected president in the 2028 US election?
2y
15.3%
2.7%
0.1%
+16 more outcomes
Community forecast108 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$31.8K
24h Vol$103
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
2y
1.7%
0.6%
1.1%
+27 more outcomes
Community forecast42 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$19.6K
24h Vol$114.1
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices)
2y
19.2%
14.8%
13%
+1 more outcomes
Community forecast32 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$9.8K
24h Vol$91.9
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Related Markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$558.8KGavin Newsom: 21%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
$443.2KHunter Biden: 0%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
$238.1KYes: 2%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
$139.8KJames Fishback: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Republican presidential nominee
$68KDonald J. Trump: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIWho will be the 2026 Democratic nominee for governor of Colorado?
$11KPhil Weiser: 98%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Ripple, Coinbase among top donors in crypto’s $189 million election spending: reportThe Block
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Ripple-backed PACs fuel record $189M crypto election spendingCrypto News
Eizenkot kicks off election bid as Polymarket puts him at 40% to lead IsraelBlockchain.News.jpg)
Supreme Court mail-ballot ruling lifts Lula to 55.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.