Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastJ.D. Vance 18.7%-1.1ptLeader of 47 outcomes
Forecasters
148
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-0.6 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleSep 18, 23, 10:26 PM UTCNov 25, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWill Marco Rubio win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastEx2028 US Presidential Election winner?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a millennial? · No 81%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 27%
- Also available on Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 19%
- Also available on Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 19%
- Also available on Smarkets — 2028 Presidential Election Winner · JD Vance 18%
- Also available on Futuur — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
