KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 94%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$10.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
3.0% / 6.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jun 9, 25, 5:30 PMNov 4, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes6%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 94% | — | $0 | $10.4K | 11 minutes ago | |
 Manifold Markets80% match · auto | — | 99% | — | — | — | 46 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Will Kamala Harris run for governor of California?
3mo
99%
1%
Community forecast79 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If Kamala Harris runs for Governorship of California before Nov 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Note: FEC filings alone do not resolve this market to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$23Jul 39d of dataJul 22
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If Kamala Harris runs for Governorship of California before Nov 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Note: FEC filings alone do not resolve this market to Yes.