KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 10:21 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Jul 1, 2027 55.5%Leader of 5 outcomes
Before Jul 1, 2027 55.5%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$24.6K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Before Jul 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 5:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jul 1, 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWhen will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?
KalshiWhen will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWhen will Marco Rubio announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWhich Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris this year?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris be elected governor of California in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Kamala Harris
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Feb 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
