KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 7:32 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Before Oct 1, 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Oct 1, 2027 48.5%Leader of 6 outcomes
Before Oct 1, 2027 48.5%Market quality
23 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$2.1K
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Before Oct 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingApr 7, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Oct 1, 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?
KalshiWill Marco Rubio visit Greenland before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio be the United States Secretary of State on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsMarco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?
KalshiWhen will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWhen will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?
KalshiRules
If Marco Rubio has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPoliticoBloomberg NewsNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Marco Rubio has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Marco Rubio has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jun 1, 2027
- If Marco Rubio has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jun 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Marco Rubio has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before May 1, 2027
- If Marco Rubio has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before May 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Marco Rubio has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
