KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Oct 1, 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Oct 1, 2027 66%Leader of 4 outcomes
Before Oct 1, 2027 66%Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$52.4
Open interest
$6.8K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Before Oct 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jul 7, 26, 5:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Oct 1, 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
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KalshiPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRules
If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPoliticoBloomberg NewsNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.