KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Hakeem Jeffries · —
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Stored price
Hakeem Jeffries 91.5%Leader of 8 outcomes
Hakeem Jeffries 91.5%Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$112.2
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Hakeem JeffriesSpread
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Market data
Updated 39 minutes ago
Oct 9, 26, 2:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Hakeem Jeffries
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Rules
If Hakeem Jeffries has announced that they will run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. House Democratic leader means the top post the House Democratic Caucus elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: its nominee for Speaker of the House if Democrats win the House majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. An announcement made before the House majority is known, including a conditional one, counts only if it is for the post that becomes the top post. Running only for a lower post, such as Majority Leader or whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.
Rules for each outcome
- Hakeem Jeffries
- If Hakeem Jeffries has announced that they will run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
- If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has announced that they will run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Katherine Clark
- If Katherine Clark has announced that they will run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pete Aguilar
- If Pete Aguilar has announced that they will run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Rashida Tlaib
- If Rashida Tlaib has announced that they will run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Joe Neguse
- If Joe Neguse has announced that they will run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pramila Jayapal
- If Pramila Jayapal has announced that they will run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ted Lieu
- If Ted Lieu has announced that they will run for House Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
