PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
Pedro Sánchez 84%Leader of 10 outcomes
Pedro Sánchez 84%Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
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24h Volume
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Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 20, 26, 3:03 PM UTCJul 15, 30, 4:00 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the first individual, among those named in the contracts in this market, to cease formally to hold the position of head of state or government that the individual holds upon launch of this market on July 20, 2026.
- No additional contracts shall be added to this market following its launch.
In the event that two or more of the listed individuals are replaced as head of state or government, or their positions become vacant, on the same calendar day, the contract listing the candidate with the first alphabetical last name, as presented in the contract, among the individuals in question will resolve as Yes.
In the event of an unclear outcome, PredictIt shall rely upon the United Nations' Protocol and Liaison Service's list of heads of state and government, located upon launch of this market at protocol.un.org/dgacm/pls/site.nsf/HSHGNFA.xsp (the "Alternative Source"), in order to resolve this market. - In such case, an incumbent shall be considered to no longer to hold his or her position on the day that the Alternative Source provides for the vacancy or appointment of another person to that position.
Should the Alternative Source not be available or not appear to be updated in a timely manner, PredictIt may at its sole discretion await its availability or select an alternate settlement source.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
