Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAt the end of his second term on 20 October 2034 39.7%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleMay 7, 26, 9:13 PM UTCOct 19, 34, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PredictItRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official manner in which Prabowo Subianto concludes his presidency of Indonesia.
- The outcome will be determined by official announcements from the government of Indonesia, reputable news outlets, and records from the General Elections Commission (KPU) or the People's Consultative Assembly (MPR).
- the named outcome: Prabowo Subianto passes away prior to October 20, 2029.
- Resigns in his first term: Prabowo Subianto formally resigns from the presidency prior to October 20, 2029.
- the named outcome: Prabowo Subianto completes his full first term and leaves office on this date.