KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: China (74%)
Resolved: Aug 31, 2026, 1:27 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
China
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 31, 2026, 1:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
China74%
Lebanon30%
ChinaWon
LebanonLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If China wins the Lebanon vs China men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 7:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.
- If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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- If Lebanon wins the Lebanon vs China men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 7:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.