Will Pakistan become more authoritarian in 2026?
Middle EastOne-OffRussia / UkraineChinaLatin America6moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 81.5%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleApr 11, 26, 4:44 PM UTCMar 31, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if Pakistan's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report.
- If the report is paywalled, I may resolve to a secondary source such as Wikipedia.
- If Pakistan's democracy score for 2026 is the same or higher, this question resolves NO.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Pakistan become more authoritarian in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 82% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Pakistan become more authoritarian in 2026? resolve?
- Will Pakistan become more authoritarian in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2027.
- How is Will Pakistan become more authoritarian in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if Pakistan's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report.