PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 7%
December 31 7%Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$48.9
Liquidity
$27.2K
High liquidityOpen interest
$1.7K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+1.4 pts
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Oct 12, 26, 10:03 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Houthis target Syria by which date?
PolymarketHouthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)
PolymarketHouthis enter Aden by which date?
PolymarketHouthis enter Saudi Arabia by which date?
PolymarketWill Pakistan become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBy when will Houthis control Taizz?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis target Pakistan through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the Houthis, directed at Pakistan.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.