PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 4:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 17%Leader of 5 outcomes
December 31 17%Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$106.8K
High liquidityOpen interest
$94.7K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
2
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 10, 26, 8:05 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
October 15Lost
September 30Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by which date?
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PolymarketHouthis seize an oil tanker by which date?
PolymarketBy when will Houthis control Taizz?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi military forces enter any part of Aden, Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "Houthi military forces" refers to the military forces of the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf.
- "Aden" refers to the following districts of Aden Governorate, Yemen: Craiter (Sirah), At Tawahi, Al Mualla, Khur Maksar, Ash Shaikh Outhman, Dar Sad, and Al Mansura.
- Al Buraiqeh district (Little Aden) is excluded and entry into Al Buraiqeh alone will not qualify.
- "Enter" means that the Houthi military forces, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Aden, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below.
