PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 28%-1.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.5K
Liquidity
$55.5K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 8:05 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi military forces enter any part of Aden, Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "Houthi military forces" refers to the military forces of the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf.
- "Aden" refers to the following districts of Aden Governorate, Yemen: Craiter (Sirah), At Tawahi, Al Mualla, Khur Maksar, Ash Shaikh Outhman, Dar Sad, and Al Mansura.
- Al Buraiqeh district (Little Aden) is excluded and entry into Al Buraiqeh alone will not qualify.
- "Enter" means that the Houthi military forces, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Aden, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Houthis enter Aden by which date??
- Polymarket prices December 31 at 28% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does Houthis enter Aden by which date? resolve?
- Houthis enter Aden by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Houthis enter Aden by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi military forces enter any part of Aden, Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.