PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 21%Leader of 4 outcomes
December 31 21%Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$614.5
Liquidity
$32.7K
High liquidityOpen interest
$20.9K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
4
7d Change
-8.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 11:23 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
September 20Lost
September 30Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Houthis enter Aden by which date?
PolymarketHouthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
PolymarketHouthi military action against Saudi Arabia on?
Polymarket[ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Saudi Arabia and Israel announce the establishment of official diplomatic relations before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi military forces enter any part of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "Houthi military forces" refers to the military forces of the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf.
- "Enter" means that the Houthi military forces, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Saudi Arabia, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below.
- Bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim of Houthi entry will not qualify without actual entry being established.