SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
ExchangeCustomSpaceCorporate ActionsEquitiesBusiness & CorporateTech
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Jun 12, 2026, 10:20 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Probability Timeline
>$1T93%
>$1.4T94%
>$1.2T96%
>$1.6T93%
>$1.8T83%
>$2T62%
>$2.2T0%
>$2.4T51%
>$3T5%
>$2.6T33%
>$3.2T5%
>$3.8T2%
>$2.8T11%
>$4T1%
>$1TWon
>$1.4TWon
>$1.2TWon
>$1.6TWon
>$1.8TWon
>$2TWon
>$2.2TLost
>$2.4TLost
>$3TLost
>$3.8TLost
>$3.2TLost
>$3.4TLost
>$4TLost
>$3.6TLost
>$2.6TLost
>$2.8TLost
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
- If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
- Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page.
- In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
