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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

TechOne-OffSpace2y
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
2027
2027 54%
Market quality

72 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$75.7

Liquidity

$39.9K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

25.0% / 26.0%

Spread

4.0%

Moderate spread
7d Change

-4.0%

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Jun 11, 26, 5:31 PMDec 31, 28, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

202754%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds.
  • The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
  • The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.).
  • The two vessels must be free-flying.

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Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds.
  • The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
  • The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.).
  • The two vessels must be free-flying.