Current implied probability
2027 62%+10.5pt
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$146.8
Liquidity
$7.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
55.0% / 68.0%
Spread
13.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
3
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jun 11, 26, 5:13 PMJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds.
- The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
- The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.).
- The two vessels must be free-flying.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Tech
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 25, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+66.0pt95.2%
- 83° to 84°-46.0pt1%
- 89° or above-6.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $490.2K
- 24h Vol
- $439.7K
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+4.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+4.0pt99%
- $68,500 or above+2.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Aug 25, 2026?
- New Orleans+15.0pt81.8%
- Oklahoma City-12.0pt1.6%
- Atlanta-2.0pt1.6%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $359.9K
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,250 or above98%
- $74,250 or above98%
- $75,000 or above97%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $308.4K
- 24h Vol
- $302.8K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 24 - August 26, 2026?
- 65-89+19.5pt63.3%
- 40-64-2.5pt34.7%
- 90-114-14.9pt2%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 80,000 to 84,999.99-1.0pt10.6%
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.3pt10.6%
- 70,000 to 74,999.998.7%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.1M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Two SpaceX Starships dock together by which date??
- Polymarket prices 2027 at 62% as of August 26, 2026.
- When does Two SpaceX Starships dock together by which date? resolve?
- Two SpaceX Starships dock together by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is Two SpaceX Starships dock together by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Where else is Two SpaceX Starships dock together by which date? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets.