Current community forecast
No 95.4%
Forecasters
54
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 50 minutes ago
LaggingApr 16, 23, 11:09 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
KalshiWhen will there be x simultaneously operational Starships?
Manifold MarketsWill the first Starships to Mars launch before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be ten or more starships that depart for mars in 2026?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?
FutuurRules
This can be any type of Starship, tankers, depots, testing vehicles, etc. They don't need to transfer fuel for this market to resolve Yes, but the docking itself has to be successful.
- If the docking happens in an unexpected way, like with a long hose or something, that would also count as Yes.
- Docking a Dragon to a Starship is not sufficient.
- @/Mqrius/will-two-starships-dock-in-orbit-be
- @/Mqrius/will-two-starships-dock-in-orbit-be-70faa1b11c89
- @/Mqrius/will-two-starships-dock-in-orbit-be-4762f93e6882
