Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecast
No 91.3%
Forecasters
50
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleApr 16, 23, 11:09 AMDec 31, 26, 10:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes9%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall82% match · verified | Low | 68% | — | $0 | $11.5K | 7 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 91% | — | — | — | yesterday |
Also available on Polymarket
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
2y
68%
8%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$57.8K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$51Jul 89d of dataJul 26
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.