Current community forecast
Yes 53.6%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleMar 10, 24, 12:26 PM UTCMar 2, 00, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before a human walks on the Moon again?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI IPO before a human walks on the moon again?
Manifold MarketsWill a Twitter account reach 500M followers before a human walks on the Moon again?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWill Starship successfully deploy its payload during Flight 15?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves as YES if 1 million humanoid robots are manufactured before a human ventures onto the surface of the Moon again (after 2023).
- Humanoid robots questions:
- @/RemNi/will-1m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-a408a64f3756
- @/RemNi/will-1m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact
- @/RemNi/will-1-million-humanoid-robots-be-m
- @/RemNi/will-a-million-humanoid-robots-have
