Current community forecast
Yes 51.6%
Forecasters
30
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleMar 10, 24, 12:47 PM UTCMar 1, 00, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being.
- Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can.
- It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.
- Resolves as YES if such a system is created before one million humanoid robots have been manufactured.
- AGI questions:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2025
Open markets
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+3 more outcomes
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+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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+5 more outcomes
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+4 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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- 1500+-3.5pt23%
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- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 52% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured? resolve?
- Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured? is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2100.
- How is Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being.