Will a Twitter account reach 500M followers before a human walks on the Moon again?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will a Twitter account reach 500M followers before a human walks on the Moon again??

Manifold Markets prices No at 96.3% as of October 24, 2026.

When does Will a Twitter account reach 500M followers before a human walks on the Moon again? resolve?

Will a Twitter account reach 500M followers before a human walks on the Moon again? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2040.

How is Will a Twitter account reach 500M followers before a human walks on the Moon again? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_most-followed_Twitter_accounts

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $78,750 or above99%
• $78,500 or above99%
• $78,250 or above99.5%

+77 more outcomes

Total Vol

$2.6M

24h Vol

$2.6M

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 24, 2026 at 3pm EDT?

• $80,100 or above99.5%
• $80,000 or above99.5%
• $79,900 or above99.5%

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $70,500 or above97.5%
• $71,000 or above97.5%
• $71,500 or above97.5%

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 24, 2026?

• Albuquerque+11.0pt99.5%
• Denver-10.0pt48.5%
• West Palm Beach-10.0pt45.5%

KALSHI

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

• 75,000 to 79,999.99+1.1pt15.5%
• 80,000 to 84,999.99+0.2pt15.3%
• 85,000 to 89,999.99-0.2pt

KALSHI

ETH price on Oct 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $2,240 or above99%
• $2,200 or above99%
• $2,080 or above99%

• Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 24, 2026?
• Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
• Highest temperature in Denver on Oct 24, 2026?
• Best AI at the end of 2026?
• Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 24, 2026?
• Which company has the best AI model end of October?
• Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
• Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 24 - Oct 25)?
• Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 24, 2026?
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• BTC price range on Oct 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?