Current community forecast
No 99.4%
Forecasters
29
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleDec 18, 23, 5:51 PM UTCJan 2, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 800 times?
Manifold MarketsWill Falcon launch more times in 2028 than 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Falcon launch more times in 2027 than 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship launch at least [X] times before it launches with humans? [independent]
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
Kalshiwill india have a mars space mission in 2026
Manifold MarketsRules
Falcon 9 Family includes Falcon heavy and Falcon 9.
- If by chance there are failures or intentional suborbital flights they do not count to the total.
- Number of launches must be more than to resolve yes.
- If they are equal it does not count as “more than” and would resolve to no.
