KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Apr 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Apr 2027 68.5%Leader of 8 outcomes
Before Apr 2027 68.5%Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$219
Open interest
$66.4K
High open interestBid / Ask
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Before Apr 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Sep 16, 26, 5:00 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Before SeptemberLost
Before OctoberLost
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Apr 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?
PolymarketBlue Origin worth more than SpaceX by EOY 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Apr 2027
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Mar 2027
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 2027
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2027
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before December
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before September
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before October
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before November
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.