KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before 2027 12%-5.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$62.6K
High liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jun 11, 26, 12:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?
PolymarketAnother Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
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PolymarketWill Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?
Manifold MarketsBlue Origin worth more than SpaceX by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
Manifold MarketsRules
If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch??
- Kalshi prices Before 2027 at 12% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch? resolve?
- When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
