PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
No 88%
No 88%Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$706.1
Low liquidityOpen interest
$5.2K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
6
7d Change
-1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 29 minutes ago
Jun 1, 26, 5:14 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
KalshiBlue Origin worth more than SpaceX by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnother Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PolymarketWill New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
Manifold MarketsBy when will New Glenn first launch with 9 engines?
Manifold MarketsWill New Glenn launch more than Falcon 9 in 2030?
Manifold MarketsRules
If any Blue Origin New Glenn rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- New Glenn rocket refers to any Blue Origin rocket publicly identified by Blue Origin as New Glenn, including any newly manufactured, rebuilt, replacement, or reused New Glenn vehicle.
- The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Blue Origin, as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., explosion or failed ascent) after the initial liftoff will have no bearing on the outcome.
- Any name change or rebranding of New Glenn will have no bearing on this market’s resolution.