PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 9:52 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
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Stored reference
No 94%
No 94%Market quality
19 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$724.2
Low liquidityOpen interest
$270.3
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
+1.4 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJun 1, 26, 1:12 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
KalshiBlue Origin worth more than SpaceX by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsBlue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?
PolymarketWhat will be the name of the third Blue Origin rocket?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiWill Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any unmanned rocket owned or operated by Blue Origin explodes at any point during a launch, launch test, hot-fire test, or other testing operation between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET .
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Blue Origin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.