Current implied probability
Anthropic 60.9%-1.0ptLeader of 16 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Anthropic 60.9%-1.0ptMarket quality
50 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$46.9
Liquidity
$6.5K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 2:01 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?
PolymarketSecond-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketSecond-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?
PolymarketThird-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?
PolymarketWhich company will have the best AI model at the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard.
- If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).