Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 6:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Anthropic 58.2%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
24
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.4 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJan 5, 26, 8:15 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the Artificial Analysis LLM Leaderboard, which ranks the performance of AI models across key metrics including intelligence, price, performance and speed.
- The company with the highest-ranked model on the leaderboard as of December 31, 2026 wins.
- Resolution will be determined by checking https://artificialanalysis.ai/leaderboards/models date.
- As of December 2025, Gemini 3 Pro from Google is consolidating its position as the global leader, while Claude Opus 4.5 and GPT-5.2 are competing on coding and reasoning.
- DeepSeek V3.2 is reshuffling the economic landscape with unbeatable costs.