This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 6:02 AM
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
1510 0%-1.2ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$515
Liquidity
$30.1K
High liquidity7d Change
-0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 62 days ago
StaleApr 2, 26, 10:05 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text.
- If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available.
- If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
