Current implied probability
$300M 100%+2.4ptLeader of 14 outcomes
Market quality
7 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 129 days ago
StaleNov 18, 25, 11:47 PMJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM
Probability Timeline
$300M98%
$1B3%
$500M84%
$800M100%
$150M 97%
$400M100%
$100M 100%
$200M100%
$2B0%
$3B0%
$4B0%
$6B0%
$250M100%
$650M36%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of USD.AI's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
- The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
- The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
- "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch.
- The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available.
Open markets
AIPOLYMARKETNext Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- October 31+2.3pt99%
- September 30+3.5pt95%
- September 15+0.5pt89%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $229.5K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.2pt68%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.6%
- Grok+0.4pt9.7%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $9.6M
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+21.5pt77%
- Moonshot-15.2pt13%
- Z.ai-7.0pt6%
+8 more outcomes
GEMINIBTC price on September 1
- $77,000 or above87.5%
- $77,250 or above74%
- $77,500 or above55%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $36.8K
- 24h Vol
- $36.8K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,95%
- October 31,-0.5pt90%
- October 15,-2.0pt68%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETNext Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date?
- October 31+3.9pt99%
- September 30+11.7pt96%
- September 15+8.9pt86%
+7 more outcomes
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Next Mythos-Class Model released on?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
- Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+): Text Arena Debut?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for USD.AI FDV above ___ one day after launch??
- Polymarket prices $300M at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does USD.AI FDV above ___ one day after launch? resolve?
- USD.AI FDV above ___ one day after launch? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is USD.AI FDV above ___ one day after launch? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of USD.AI's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.