PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No IPO by June 30, 2026
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 7:31 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No IPO by June 30, 2026 100%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$203.3
Liquidity
$402.7K
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 62 days ago
StaleSep 23, 25, 12:22 AMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
No IPO by June 30, 2026100%
<100B0%
100–200B0%
200–300B0%
300–400B0%
400–600B0%
600B+0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
- If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "the named outcome".
- Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
- It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
- If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page.
