PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Anthropic · —
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Stored reference
Anthropic 95%
Anthropic 95%Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$950
Liquidity
$52.6K
High liquidityOpen interest
$104.9K
Bid / Ask
— / —
AnthropicSpread
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Comments
3
7d Change
-0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jan 30, 26, 10:45 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Anthropic
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Max (Anthropic, OpenAI annualized revenue) by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?
Polymarketthird wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
Manifold MarketsWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
PolymarketOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
- The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Anthropic is 94%. The venue spread is about 3 percentage points.
CoinRithm reference Anthropic 94% · 2 venues · 3 pt venue spread
