This market resolved: Anthropic
Resolved: Apr 30, 2026, 8:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Anthropic 100%+0.7ptLeader of 27 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$43K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+17.9 pts
Market data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleMar 20, 26, 8:45 PMApr 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Anthropic100%
Moonshot1%
Amazon0%
Mistral0%
Microsoft0%
ByteDance0%
Z.ai0%
Meituan0%
Other0%
Company F0%
Company G0%
Company H0%
Company K0%
Google0%
Alibaba0%
Baidu0%
Meta0%
Company C0%
Company J0%
OpenAI1%
xAI0%
DeepSeek0%
Company D0%
Company E0%
Company I0%
Company L0%
Company M0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
