Probability Timeline
January 310%
February 280%
March 310%
April 300%
June 300%
January 31Lost
February 28Lost
March 31Lost
April 30Lost
June 30Lost
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
- The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
- Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3.
- Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
