PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 6:03 AM
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
December 31, 2025 0%-0.2ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
18 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$176.2
Liquidity
$3.3K
Medium liquidity7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 67 days ago
StaleAug 7, 25, 8:45 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
- The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
- Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g.
Open markets
AIPOLYMARKETNext Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- October 31+2.3pt99%
- September 30+3.5pt95%
- September 15+0.5pt89%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $229.5K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.2pt68%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.6%
- Grok+0.4pt9.7%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $9.6M
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+21.5pt77%
- Moonshot-15.2pt13%
- Z.ai-7.0pt6%
+8 more outcomes
GEMINIBTC price on September 1
- $77,000 or above87.5%
- $77,250 or above74%
- $77,500 or above55%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $36.8K
- 24h Vol
- $36.8K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,95%
- October 31,-0.5pt90%
- October 15,-2.0pt68%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETNext Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date?
- October 31+3.9pt99%
- September 30+11.7pt96%
- September 15+8.9pt86%
+7 more outcomes
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Next Mythos-Class Model released on?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
- Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+): Text Arena Debut?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Grok 5 released by which date??
- Polymarket prices December 31, 2025 at 0% as of June 26, 2026.
- When does Grok 5 released by which date? resolve?
- Grok 5 released by which date? is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2026.
- How is Grok 5 released by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.