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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Business & Corporate
  3. When will any company achieve AGI?
When will any company achieve AGI?

When will any company achieve AGI?

Business & CorporateAITechOne-Off19d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026 2%
Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$316.7

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

1.0% / 3.0%

Spread

200.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Mar 3, 26, 3:00 PMJul 1, 26, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Before Jul 1, 20262%

Rules

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify.
  • For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
  • If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,812.72+2.63%EthereumETH$1,656.80+2.36%SolanaSOL$65.17+2.67%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.86%BNBBNB$599.08+2.48%XRPXRP$1.12+0.93%

Related News

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Rules

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify.
  • For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
  • If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.