KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before 2030 · —
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Stored price
Before 2030 63.4%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before 2030 63.4%Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$681.5
Open interest
$396.2K
High open interestBid / Ask
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Before 2030Spread
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Market data
Updated 43 minutes ago
Jul 11, 25, 4:45 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Market depth · Before 2030
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will OpenAI achieve "very high level of confidence" in their "Superalignment" solutions by 2027-07-06?
Manifold MarketsWhen will OpenAI achieve the capacity to produce 1 gigawatt of AI infrastructure weekly?
Manifold MarketsWhen will any company achieve AGI?
KalshiA company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
Manifold MarketsWill AI achieve AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRules
If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenAI
Rules for each outcome
- Before 2030
- If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2028
- If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2027
- If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.