PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Rahm Emanuel 12%Leader of 72 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$35.4K
Liquidity
$1.2M
High liquidityBid / Ask
8.8% / 8.9%
Spread
1.1%
Tight spread7d Change
+2.5%
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Nov 19, 25, 11:53 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Rahm Emanuel12%
Large trades
$2.0k89.3%POLYMARKETWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? — Nosimpleman10d ago
POLYMARKETWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? — Nosimpleman10d ago$1.0k89.6%POLYMARKETWill John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027? — NoRetired-Davis18d ago
POLYMARKETWill John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027? — NoRetired-Davis18d agoVolume trend
$35.4kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S.
- President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.