PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
J.D. Vance 90%Leader of 71 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$361.2
Liquidity
$373.3K
High liquiditySpread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+22.5 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Aug 4, 26, 9:43 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
- A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous.
- Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.