Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
1.2 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 96%
No 96%Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$125.7
Liquidity
$10.9K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$5.3K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
+2.9 pts
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 7:04 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWill Trump award Elon Musk the presidential medal of freedom before the end of his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Elon Musk will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Elon Musk (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.